Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston Baptist
Southland
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#284
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#250
Pace74.1#85
Improvement-0.9#217

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#214
First Shot-0.2#177
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#294
Layup/Dunks-0.3#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#302
Freethrows+2.6#27
Improvement+2.8#51

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#319
First Shot-3.8#281
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#339
Layups/Dunks-1.2#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#308
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#120
Freethrows-1.4#264
Improvement-3.7#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 112   @ New Mexico St. L 69-91 9%     0 - 1 -15.4 -2.6 -11.1
  Nov 19, 2015 113   @ TCU L 63-90 10%     0 - 2 -20.6 -6.7 -12.7
  Nov 21, 2015 121   @ Illinois St. L 56-72 10%     0 - 3 -10.1 -13.0 +3.2
  Nov 24, 2015 95   South Dakota St. L 68-92 10%     0 - 4 -18.2 -2.1 -16.3
  Nov 25, 2015 214   Rider L 56-67 33%     0 - 5 -14.3 -10.4 -5.0
  Dec 02, 2015 277   Rice W 77-73 59%     1 - 5 -6.4 -5.7 -0.8
  Dec 05, 2015 42   @ Michigan L 57-82 3%     1 - 6 -11.3 -10.1 -1.8
  Dec 15, 2015 234   UC Riverside W 72-59 47%     2 - 6 +5.7 -11.4 +15.6
  Dec 19, 2015 86   @ Arizona St. L 79-98 6%     2 - 7 -9.5 +7.4 -16.1
  Jan 02, 2016 340   @ Northwestern St. W 99-73 62%     3 - 7 1 - 0 +15.0 +7.0 +5.4
  Jan 05, 2016 334   McNeese St. W 82-73 78%     4 - 7 2 - 0 -7.2 -8.6 +0.5
  Jan 09, 2016 322   SE Louisiana W 77-58 73%     5 - 7 3 - 0 +4.8 -2.3 +7.1
  Jan 13, 2016 333   Nicholls St. W 78-69 77%     6 - 7 4 - 0 -6.8 -5.4 -2.1
  Jan 16, 2016 326   @ New Orleans W 73-69 53%     7 - 7 5 - 0 -4.8 -10.6 +5.4
  Jan 19, 2016 327   @ Central Arkansas W 72-61 55%     8 - 7 6 - 0 +1.7 -16.4 +16.8
  Jan 23, 2016 330   @ Lamar W 92-79 56%     9 - 7 7 - 0 +3.4 +5.5 -3.3
  Jan 30, 2016 225   Sam Houston St. W 70-69 45%     10 - 7 8 - 0 -5.6 -2.7 -2.9
  Feb 02, 2016 316   @ Abilene Christian L 72-79 50%     10 - 8 8 - 1 -14.9 -7.1 -7.5
  Feb 06, 2016 54   Stephen F. Austin L 66-72 9%     10 - 9 8 - 2 +0.8 -1.8 +2.5
  Feb 08, 2016 177   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 76-83 17%     10 - 10 8 - 3 -4.9 +2.3 -6.9
  Feb 13, 2016 225   @ Sam Houston St. L 68-80 25%     10 - 11 8 - 4 -12.8 -5.3 -7.5
  Feb 15, 2016 330   Lamar W 79-78 76%     11 - 11 9 - 4 -14.4 -6.3 -8.2
  Feb 18, 2016 316   Abilene Christian W 73-71 71%     12 - 11 10 - 4 -11.7 -2.1 -9.5
  Feb 22, 2016 267   Incarnate Word L 91-97 56%     12 - 12 10 - 5 -15.4 +7.7 -22.8
  Feb 27, 2016 54   @ Stephen F. Austin L 54-82 4%     12 - 13 10 - 6 -15.3 -13.3 -1.6
  Mar 03, 2016 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-81 34%     12 - 14 10 - 7 -13.8 +3.7 -18.3
  Mar 05, 2016 267   @ Incarnate Word L 86-97 34%     12 - 15 10 - 8 -14.6 +5.7 -19.6
  Mar 10, 2016 322   SE Louisiana W 73-68 63%     13 - 15 -6.3 -3.4 -2.8
  Mar 11, 2016 54   Stephen F. Austin L 68-104 6%     13 - 16 -26.2 -4.4 -19.5
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%